She Wishes
Arianna Huffington's Post: McCain's Fall a Warning to All GOP Candidates: Support the War at Your Own Risk.
Umm ... yeah okay.
McCain isn't hemorrhaging because of the war. He's hemorrhaging because he's poked his base in the eye for the last time. He co-sponsored (and then side-stepped away from) an immigration bill that over 70% of the American population did not want. He's responsible for campaign finance reform that imposes on Constitutional rights. He's sided with the Kennedy's of the world a few too many times. Conservatives don't like it. McCain felt like he was the annointed one, it was "his turn" and he believed all the MSM hoopla about him being a "national front runner." What good is being a "national front runner" in a primary? He needs to be a "Republican front runner" which he never was.
Huffington lists this website as evidence that a speech he gave in January of this year embarcing the troop surge is what led to his implosion.
The graph gives no dates. And even the article below the graph says this:
He couldn't connect with those he needed to elect him. He may need to rethink his party alignment, because I think (aside from his support of the war) he's more well-liked on the D side of the line.
But Huffington's assertion that the Iraq war is what is causing his demies is ridiculous. Nationally, Republicans still support the war in Iraq. And since he was running as a Republican, the only thing that should have been hurting him were Non-Republican issues and ideals. Like amnesty. Which if you looked at the amensty bill coming to the floor and his poll numbers ...
His highest poll this year was 22% the week of January 23rd (according to Rasmussen Reports). Guiliani that same week was at 30%. This isn't a large margin for error, but it does prove that there are other candidates who enjoy popularity ... not just McCain.
But from January to May, McCain's numbers hovered around the 20% mark. His average from January 18th to May 15th was 19.2%. His highest ranking was 22% and his lowest was 15% mid-March. But since May 22nd they have fallen and never bounced back, which I'm sure he was expecting. May 17th McCain and Kennedy brought their Immigration bill to the floor. And I'm most positive that this has a lot to do with his contributions.
Which really, his contributions are what are driving the mass exodus from his campaign. With no money he can do nothing. And last quarter he couldn't raise a penny because the GOP is very, very frustrated with the leadership. The right leaning blogs are filled with reports of the RNC calling consitutents asking for donations and being rebuffed. This is why donating across the RNC board is down.
You can't have people like Trent Lott calling talk radio evil and responsible for "running this country" and then expect the millions of people that listen to talk radio to support you. Especially when people like Rush Limbaugh are lambasting them every day.
Huffington also shows a poll saying that 42% of Republicans are against the war.
Um -- maybe want to check your source Huffington. The article she links shows the Republicans against the war to be at 38% of the electorate, not 42%. Fun with numbers! Yippee! Let's all play!
And the poll is a month old. But I don't know if that means anything. Especially considering the Washington Post has an Op-Ed up about why the surge is working and how it is possible for victory in Iraq. That doesn't mean much to me ... what does mean much is that General Patreaus thinks it will work. And I believe him.
Anyway - I'm tired of how some are looking at McCain through glasses fogged with Iraq. He had many other problems - cheif among them that he didn't have anyone that believed in him. Maybe if he'd run as an independent, as Lieberman did. Or heck, even as a Moderate Democrat.
But as a Republican McCain will never sit in the Oval Office. He's cemented that fact himself.
Umm ... yeah okay.
McCain isn't hemorrhaging because of the war. He's hemorrhaging because he's poked his base in the eye for the last time. He co-sponsored (and then side-stepped away from) an immigration bill that over 70% of the American population did not want. He's responsible for campaign finance reform that imposes on Constitutional rights. He's sided with the Kennedy's of the world a few too many times. Conservatives don't like it. McCain felt like he was the annointed one, it was "his turn" and he believed all the MSM hoopla about him being a "national front runner." What good is being a "national front runner" in a primary? He needs to be a "Republican front runner" which he never was.
Huffington lists this website as evidence that a speech he gave in January of this year embarcing the troop surge is what led to his implosion.
The graph gives no dates. And even the article below the graph says this:
The collapse of campaigns can be attributed to poor strategy, poor management,
poor fundraising. But the more fundamental cause is lack of support, a failure
to connect with voters.
He couldn't connect with those he needed to elect him. He may need to rethink his party alignment, because I think (aside from his support of the war) he's more well-liked on the D side of the line.
But Huffington's assertion that the Iraq war is what is causing his demies is ridiculous. Nationally, Republicans still support the war in Iraq. And since he was running as a Republican, the only thing that should have been hurting him were Non-Republican issues and ideals. Like amnesty. Which if you looked at the amensty bill coming to the floor and his poll numbers ...
His highest poll this year was 22% the week of January 23rd (according to Rasmussen Reports). Guiliani that same week was at 30%. This isn't a large margin for error, but it does prove that there are other candidates who enjoy popularity ... not just McCain.
But from January to May, McCain's numbers hovered around the 20% mark. His average from January 18th to May 15th was 19.2%. His highest ranking was 22% and his lowest was 15% mid-March. But since May 22nd they have fallen and never bounced back, which I'm sure he was expecting. May 17th McCain and Kennedy brought their Immigration bill to the floor. And I'm most positive that this has a lot to do with his contributions.
Which really, his contributions are what are driving the mass exodus from his campaign. With no money he can do nothing. And last quarter he couldn't raise a penny because the GOP is very, very frustrated with the leadership. The right leaning blogs are filled with reports of the RNC calling consitutents asking for donations and being rebuffed. This is why donating across the RNC board is down.
You can't have people like Trent Lott calling talk radio evil and responsible for "running this country" and then expect the millions of people that listen to talk radio to support you. Especially when people like Rush Limbaugh are lambasting them every day.
Huffington also shows a poll saying that 42% of Republicans are against the war.
Um -- maybe want to check your source Huffington. The article she links shows the Republicans against the war to be at 38% of the electorate, not 42%. Fun with numbers! Yippee! Let's all play!
And the poll is a month old. But I don't know if that means anything. Especially considering the Washington Post has an Op-Ed up about why the surge is working and how it is possible for victory in Iraq. That doesn't mean much to me ... what does mean much is that General Patreaus thinks it will work. And I believe him.
Anyway - I'm tired of how some are looking at McCain through glasses fogged with Iraq. He had many other problems - cheif among them that he didn't have anyone that believed in him. Maybe if he'd run as an independent, as Lieberman did. Or heck, even as a Moderate Democrat.
But as a Republican McCain will never sit in the Oval Office. He's cemented that fact himself.
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